As far as psychological advantages go, you don’t get much better than beating the side you’re about to face just a few days before your second encounter, and that’s exactly what Leicester managed to do on Tuesday evening.
The hosts put in an excellent second half display at the King Power Stadium to beat Liverpool 2-0, and whilst they didn’t exactly put a weak team out for the match, there was a distinct lack of the likes of Jamie Vardy and Riyad Mahrez. Liverpool also fielded a strong side, with Phillipe Coutinho, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Jordan Henderson, and Georginio Wijnaldum all failing to make a difference to the end result.
This victory ended Leicester’s three match winless run in all competitions, although two of those were against the in form Manchester United and Chelsea. In fact, the hosts have had a very difficult run of fixtures to start the season, but even so they have managed to pick up four points and will feel quietly confident about adding more to their tally on Saturday.
Liverpool started the season with a thrilling 3-3 draw away to Watford, which in the end is a poor result and illustrates the major problems within their defensive strategy. They did look massively improved as they beat Hoffenheim in the Champions League playoff round, narrowly beating Crystal Palace, and then hammered Arsenal at Anfield.
However, things haven’t gone quite so well since then. First they were destroyed away to Manchester City and then they failed to beat Sevilla in their Champions League group stage opener. A draw at home to Burnley and their midweek loss to Leicester have followed, casting major doubts over their chances of success this season.
Away from home Liverpool have won just one of their four competitive games this season, and they’re facing a Leicester side who have won two of their three at the King Power Stadium. In the Premier League alone, Leicester have won six of their last nine at home, losing only against Chelsea and Spurs. All things considered, backing a Leicester Win or Draw Double Chance at 19/20 looks fantastic value for money.
Jamie Vardy is the man to watch for the hosts. The striker is returning from a groin strain for this match and has already bagged four in the league this season, so backing him to find the net again looks the best option for our anytime goalscorer predictions.
Overall we’re expecting a high scoring game here. Both of Liverpool’s away days in the Premier League this season have seen at least four goals scored, and with their defensive frailty and attacking menace that could well happen again, so we’re going for Over 3.5 Goals at 7/4 alongside a 3-2 win for the hosts at huge odds of 40/1.